13 小时前
上篇的结尾
Last Post
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接下来原则上 我们剩下
1.我之前偏向的紫色（红色）
2.绿色 (现在的位置)
3.蓝色
有监于绿色目前看起来有机会
我也另外把这个剧本的目标放上来
时间点没错刚好就是11月大选前
这也是为什麽我会在今天买进的原因之一
当然 我也会关注是否会在下探
走到紫色及蓝色的剧本内
看下图 你就会懂我的顾忌
另外 主图这边 我提供一个有可能出现的走势
当然 这个只是一个臆测
但是依照时间推算 很有可能发生
Next, we are left with:
1 The purple (red) path I previously favored
2 The green path (current position)
3 The blue path
Given that the green path currently seems promising, I have also included the target for this scenario. The timing is just right before the November election, which is one of the reasons I bought in today.
Of course, I will also be watching for potential downturns into the purple and blue scenarios.
Looking at the chart below, you will understand my concerns:
Additionally, in the main chart here, I am providing a possible trajectory that might occur. Of course, this is just speculation, but based on the time calculation, it is very likely to happen.
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很幸运 我在25号出清了
我手上所有的Crypto
先谈谈为什麽我会出清
第一 我认为时间未满足
第二 我判断会有第二只脚
第三 外部原因 美股跟汇率
另外 我观察到很多others 原则上都是上涨但是量没有出来
甚至都是背离的情况
所以我判断 这次跌幅不算满足
好一点的情况是做第二只脚
但是这只脚的深浅 要再做观察
54000～55000 是一个高脚区间
但我比较喜欢跌破前低 49000 在做收回
或许可以去尝试摸通道底部 这样对於庄家来说
筹码也乾净
当然 紫色跟蓝色规划我没有忘记
这波的下跌 如果我们取6/7～7/5来计算 那大约是在 1.13～1.27之间
如果8/25是高点 那是否就非常有可能会打到紫色预测点（1.13）
反正这边是一个可见的机会点 列入观察
Lucky, I cleaned all of my crypto holdings on the 25th.
Let me explain why I decided to liquidate:
1I believe the timing wasn’t right.
2I anticipated there would be a second leg down.
3External factors such as the U.S. stock market and exchange rates.
Additionally, I noticed that many other assets have generally been rising, but the volume hasn’t picked up, and there are even cases of divergence.
So I concluded that the current decline hasn’t fully satisfied its potential. A better scenario would be a second leg down, but the depth of this leg still needs to be observed. The range of 54,000 to 55,000 is a high area, but I would prefer a drop below the previous low of 49,000 for a rebound. It might be worth trying to touch the bottom of the channel, which would clean up the position for the market makers.
Of course, I haven’t forgotten about the purple and blue scenarios.
If we calculate the recent drop from June 7 to July 5, it falls between 1.13 and 1.27. If August 25 was the high, it is very likely that it will reach the purple forecast point (1.13). This is a visible opportunity and worth observing.
接下来我的简易计画有两个部分
一个是 右侧 一个左侧 供参考
右侧就是突破Buy-in (A) 即下单买进
止损 SL 1 (A) 及 SL ALL （A）
这个原则上偏向短单
除非量能有出来
但是注意到紫色框的部分就要考虑止盈或拉高止损到有盈利的位置
左侧当然就是预计会续跌到紫色区域
这个我会先挂单 但是一样看情况更动
其他挂单比较偏短线操作的我就不细说 但是原则上就是上面提到第二只脚的位置
以及通道边缘
2 simple plan for now
1 The right side, it involves breaking through the Buy-in (A) and placing a buy order. The stop-loss is set at SL 1 (A) and SL ALL (A). This approach is generally for short trades unless the volume increases. However, if you notice the purple box area, you should consider taking profits or raising the stop-loss to a profitable position.
2 The left side I anticipate further declines to the purple area. I will place limit orders for this but will adjust based on the situation.
I won’t go into detail about other limit orders that are more short-term, but generally, they relate to the second leg position mentioned above and the channel edges.
